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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
7.75% | 13.14% | 79.11% |
Both teams to score 51.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.54% | 30.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.25% | 51.75% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.44% | 45.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.62% | 81.38% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.94% | 6.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.96% | 23.04% |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 2.39% 1-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 3.19% Total : 7.75% | 1-1 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.35% 0-0 @ 2.76% Other @ 0.95% Total : 13.14% | 0-2 @ 10.85% 0-3 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 7.98% 0-1 @ 7.74% 0-4 @ 7.12% 1-4 @ 5.59% 0-5 @ 3.99% 1-5 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 2.2% 0-6 @ 1.87% 1-6 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.12% Total : 79.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |