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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 7.75% | 13.14% | 79.11% |
| Both teams to score 51.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.54% | 30.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.25% | 51.75% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.44% | 45.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.62% | 81.38% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.94% | 6.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.96% | 23.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 2.39% 1-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 3.19% Total : 7.75% | 1-1 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.35% 0-0 @ 2.76% Other @ 0.95% Total : 13.14% | 0-2 @ 10.85% 0-3 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 7.98% 0-1 @ 7.74% 0-4 @ 7.12% 1-4 @ 5.59% 0-5 @ 3.99% 1-5 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 2.2% 0-6 @ 1.87% 1-6 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.12% Total : 79.1% |