Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
1 - 3
Sparta

Bakis (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Verschueren (45+1'), Thy (69'), Engels (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32

Sparta Rotterdam

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
53.53% ( -0.23)	24.36% ( 0.08)	22.12% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22% (

-0.16)

50.78% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33% (

-0.14)

72.67% (

0.14)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09% (

-0.15)

18.9% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6% (

-0.25)

50.4% (

0.25)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

0.06)

37.64% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58% (

0.06)

74.42% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Heracles 53.52%

Sparta Rotterdam 22.12%

Draw 24.35%

Heracles	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.52%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.12%