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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 51.18% | 25.59% | 23.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% | 54.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% | 75.84% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.35% | 38.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.61% | 75.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.23% |