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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
| 54.39% | 24.35% | 21.26% |
| Both teams to score 49.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% | 51.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% | 73.46% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% | 18.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% | 50.42% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% | 39.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.26% | 75.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.38% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.26% |