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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 34.21% | 26.86% | 38.93% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% | 53.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% | 75.4% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% | 65.95% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.21% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.93% |