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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 33.76% | 26.19% | 40.05% |
| Both teams to score 53.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% | 51.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% | 73.11% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% | 25.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% | 59.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.05% |