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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.87%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 1.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.69%) and 2-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.26%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 93.87% | 4.85% | 1.27% |
| Both teams to score 28.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.78% | 23.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.39% | 42.61% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.51% | 2.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.33% | 11.67% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 29.39% | 70.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.82% | 95.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 3-0 @ 14.8% 4-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 12% 5-0 @ 10.13% 1-0 @ 6.49% 6-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.18% 5-1 @ 3.53% 7-0 @ 3.31% 6-1 @ 2.18% 8-0 @ 1.53% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.69% Total : 93.85% | 1-1 @ 2.26% 0-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 4.85% | Other @ 1.28% Total : 1.28% |