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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.87%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 1.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.69%) and 2-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.26%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
93.87% | 4.85% | 1.27% |
Both teams to score 28.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.78% | 23.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.39% | 42.61% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.51% | 2.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.33% | 11.67% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
29.39% | 70.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
4.82% | 95.18% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
3-0 @ 14.8% 4-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 12% 5-0 @ 10.13% 1-0 @ 6.49% 6-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.18% 5-1 @ 3.53% 7-0 @ 3.31% 6-1 @ 2.18% 8-0 @ 1.53% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.69% Total : 93.85% | 1-1 @ 2.26% 0-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 4.85% | Other @ 1.28% Total : 1.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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