Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.79%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 3.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.