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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.79%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 3.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
| 89.79% | 7.01% | 3.19% |
| Both teams to score 47.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.03% | 18.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.35% | 36.65% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.51% | 2.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.32% | 11.68% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.87% | 51.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.57% | 85.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
| 3-0 @ 10.72% 4-0 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 8.7% 5-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 7.19% 4-1 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 5.84% 5-1 @ 4.92% 1-0 @ 4.7% 6-0 @ 4.53% 6-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.41% 7-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-2 @ 1.65% 7-1 @ 1.6% 8-0 @ 1.11% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.83% Total : 89.79% | 1-1 @ 3.15% 2-2 @ 1.96% 0-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.63% Total : 7.01% | 1-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 3.19% |