AZ Alkmaar
KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2022 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Ajax

AZ
0 - 2
Ajax


Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
32.57%25.26%42.16%
Both teams to score 55.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65%63.35%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95%56.05%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 32.57%
    Ajax 42.16%
    Draw 25.26%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
1-0 @ 8%
2-1 @ 7.65%
2-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.57%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 6.95%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.16%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
19.6%
Draw
15.5%
Ajax
64.9%
148