Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Heracles

Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laursen (42')
Kiomourtzoglou (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 84.71%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 4.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.55%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
84.71%	10.99%	4.29%

Both teams to score 36.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.79%

36.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.66%

58.34%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87%

6.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.75%

23.25%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.07%

60.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.88%

91.12%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 84.7%

Heracles 4.29%

Draw 10.99%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 14.56% 3-0 @ 13.55% 1-0 @ 10.43% 4-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.72% 5-0 @ 5.29% 4-1 @ 4.69% 5-1 @ 2.62% 6-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.66% 6-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% 7-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 84.7%	1-1 @ 5.17% 0-0 @ 3.74% 2-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.99%	0-1 @ 1.85% 1-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.16% Total : 4.29%

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

AZ Alkmaar

91.7%

Draw

8.3%

Heracles

0.0%

AZ2 - 1Heracles

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

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AZ
2 - 1
Heracles