Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 13, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 4
AZ

Brouwers (25')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
28.22%	23.95%	47.82%

Both teams to score 58.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.16%

43.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78%

66.22%

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18%

28.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33%

64.67%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52%

18.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33%

49.67%

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 28.22%

AZ Alkmaar 47.82%

Draw 23.95%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.22%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.45% Total : 47.82%