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Ben Rienstra
85'
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Sam Beukema
14'
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Yukinari Sugawara
61'
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Fortuna Sittard Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 23.35%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.86%
