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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
43.65% | 24.43% | 31.92% |
Both teams to score 58.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% | 44.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.54% | 66.47% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% | 20.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.29% | 52.71% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% | 26.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% | 61.66% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |