Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 27, 2022 at 11.15am UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Feyenoord

Karlsson (19' pen., 30' pen.)
Martins Indi (26'), de Wit (38'), Clasie (77'), Wijndal (90+5'), Karlsson (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Geertruida (52')
Hendrix (18'), Kokcu (26'), Malacia (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Feyenoord
43.65%	24.43%	31.92%

Both teams to score 58.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92%

44.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54%

66.47%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68%

20.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29%

52.71%

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34%

61.66%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 43.65%

Feyenoord 31.92%

Draw 24.43%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.65%	1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.57% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.92%