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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 46.38% | 25.97% | 27.65% |
| Both teams to score 51.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% | 52.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% | 74.36% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% | 56.37% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% | 33.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% | 70.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.65% |