Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Mar 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Goffertstadion

NEC
1 - 3
AZ

Guth (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Karlsson (8', 70'), Evjen (76')
Vindahl Jensen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 AZ
Thursday, May 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Next Game: AZ vs. Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
23.09%	23.5%	53.41%

Both teams to score 54.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8%

46.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5%

68.5%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82%

34.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12%

70.88%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76%

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45%

47.55%

Score Analysis

NEC 23.09%

AZ Alkmaar 53.4%

Draw 23.5%

NEC	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% 2-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.09%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 5.73% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.81% Total : 53.4%