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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | NEC |
| 56.44% | 23.94% | 19.61% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% | 52.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% | 73.75% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% | 18.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% | 49.32% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.06% | 40.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.49% | 77.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.43% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.61% |