Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.