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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Groningen.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
59.49% | 23.73% | 16.78% |
Both teams to score 44.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.96% | 55.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.69% | 76.31% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.73% | 18.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.68% | 49.32% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.89% | 46.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.19% | 81.8% |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 5.34% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.07% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.07% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.52% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |