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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Groningen.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
| 59.49% | 23.73% | 16.78% |
| Both teams to score 44.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% | 55.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% | 76.31% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% | 18.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% | 49.32% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.89% | 46.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.19% | 81.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 5.34% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.07% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.07% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.52% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.78% |