Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 30, 2022 at 7pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
1 - 1
FC Twente

Fadiga (36')
Laursen (41'), Fadiga (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Smal (45+2')
Pleguezuelo (40'), Brenet (74'), van Wolfswinkel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32

FC Twente

Last Six:

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 FC Twente
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	FC Twente
42.77%	25.2%	32.03%

Both teams to score 55.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5%

47.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29%

69.71%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44%

55.56%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

Score Analysis

Heracles 42.77%

FC Twente 32.03%

Draw 25.2%

Heracles	Draw	FC Twente
1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.77%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.03%