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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 20.21% | 22.38% | 57.41% |
| Both teams to score 54.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% | 44.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% | 67.13% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% | 36.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% | 72.91% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% | 15.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.21% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.74% 1-3 @ 6.2% 0-3 @ 6.09% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.41% |