UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Parken

Copenhagen
0 - 4
PSV

(PSV Eindhoven win 8-4 on aggregate)

Diks (45'), Vavro (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zahavi (10', 79'), Gotze (38'), Madueke (90+1')
Gotze (37'), Gutierrez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Copenhagen and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Copenhagen

Last Six:

Last Game: Copenhagen 3-0 AaB
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Danish Superliga

Next Game: Copenhagen vs. Horsens
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Brondby	0	0	0
5	Copenhagen	0	0	0
6	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Copenhagen	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
30.46%	24.33%	45.2%

Both teams to score 58.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71%

44.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33%

66.66%

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49%

27.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98%

63.02%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26%

19.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.24%

51.75%

Score Analysis

Copenhagen 30.46%

PSV Eindhoven 45.2%

Draw 24.34%

Copenhagen	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.34% 1-0 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.46%	1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.99% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.2%