Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 16.77% | 20.29% | 62.93% |
| Both teams to score 54.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% | 63.28% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% | 37.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% | 74.42% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% | 12.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% | 38.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.65% 1-0 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.29% | 0-2 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 6.92% 0-4 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 3.38% 2-4 @ 1.76% 0-5 @ 1.54% 1-5 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.93% |


