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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 21.49% | 21.74% | 56.78% |
| Both teams to score 58.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% | 40.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% | 62.54% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% | 32.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% | 68.78% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% | 13.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.49% | 41.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.49% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 3.18% 0-4 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.78% |