Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.75%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Feyenoord in this match.