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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 72.41% | 16.63% | 10.96% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% | 37.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% | 59.44% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% | 8.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.38% | 30.61% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.22% | 43.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.06% | 79.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% 1-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 5.53% 4-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.13% 5-0 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.89% 6-0 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.36% Total : 72.4% | 1-1 @ 7.83% 0-0 @ 3.93% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.98% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.25% 1-2 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.96% |