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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 19.62% | 21.51% | 58.87% |
| Both teams to score 55.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% | 41.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% | 64.16% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% | 35.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% | 13.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.74% | 41.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 5.28% 1-0 @ 5.1% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.62% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.22% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 9.48% 1-3 @ 6.55% 0-3 @ 6.24% 2-3 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 3.24% 0-4 @ 3.08% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.28% 0-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.87% |