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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | 1st Leg
May 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Vitesse

Utrecht
3 - 1
Vitesse

Janssen (3'), van de Streek (21'), Gustafson (81' pen.)
van der Kust (51'), van de Streek (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vroegh (85')
Buitink (51'), Tronstad (60'), Doekhi (74'), Openda (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

Last Six:
Last Game: Vitesse 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Eredivisie

Vitesse

Last Six:
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawVitesse
44.03% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)25.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)30.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)47.35% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.023 0.02)69.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)54.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03)64.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 44.03%
    Vitesse 30.9%
    Draw 25.06%
FC UtrechtDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.03%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.9%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Vitesse

FC Utrecht
28.6%
Draw
26.2%
Vitesse
45.2%
42
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
Utrecht
1-1
Vitesse
Sylla (14')
van de Streek (42'), Sylla (62'), Maher (72')
Doekhi (90+1')
Tronstad (59'), Wittek (64'), Letsch (87')
Grbic (65')
Nov 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
Utrecht
Frederiksen (7'), Bazoer (45+1')
Zagre (77')
Warmerdam (64'), Maher (90+1'), Mallahi (90+8')
Mar 14, 2021 1.30pm
Utrecht
1-3
Vitesse
Kerk (41')
Maher (48'), Mahi (51'), Oelschlagel (54'), Janssen (79')
Darfalou (44', 54'), Wittek (57')
Wittek (17'), Bazoer (23'), Openda (51'), Huisman (88'), Bruns (90+5')
Bazoer (82')
Jan 12, 2021 5.45pm
Vitesse
1-0
Utrecht
Doekhi (26')
Bruns (83')

van der Maarel (15')
Mar 14, 2020 7.45pm
Utrecht
P-P
Vitesse