Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
2 - 2
AZ

van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (90+4')
van Overeem (57')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pavlidis (12', 15')
de Wit (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
32.23% ( -0.77)	25.02% ( -0.09)	42.75% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 56.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

0.15)

46.61% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

0.14)

68.88% (

-0.14)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49% (

-0.41)

27.51% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98% (

-0.53)

63.02% (

0.53)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21% (

0.47)

21.79% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45% (

0.71)

55% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 32.23%

AZ Alkmaar 42.75%

Draw 25.02%

FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.23%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.75%