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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 30.31% | 25.1% | 44.59% |
| Both teams to score 55.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% | 47.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% | 69.94% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% | 65.32% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% | 21.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% | 54.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.59% |