Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 30, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

PEC Zwolle

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.95%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 3.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.24%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
88.95%	7.41%	3.64%

Both teams to score 50.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.8%

18.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.47%

35.53%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.52%

2.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.33%

11.67%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.96%

48.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.74%

83.26%

Score Analysis

Ajax 88.95%

PEC Zwolle 3.64%

Draw 7.41%

Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
3-0 @ 10.07% 4-0 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 7.39% 5-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.83% 2-1 @ 5.99% 5-1 @ 5.06% 1-0 @ 4.41% 6-0 @ 4.26% 6-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.51% 7-0 @ 2.25% 5-2 @ 1.85% 7-1 @ 1.65% 6-2 @ 1.14% 8-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.29% Total : 88.95%	1-1 @ 3.24% 2-2 @ 2.2% 0-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.79% Total : 7.41%	1-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.45% Total : 3.64%