Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Apr 2, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
1 - 3
Ajax

Strand Larsen (20')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Klaassen (45+1'), Tadic (45+6' pen.), Berghuis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

Last Six:

Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36
11	Groningen	33	-13	36
12	Cambuur	33	-18	36

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Ajax
12.45%	19.1%	68.45%

Both teams to score 47.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26%

44.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9%

67.1%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89%

46.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.2%

81.8%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.99%

12.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.54%

37.46%

Score Analysis

Groningen 12.45%

Ajax 68.43%

Draw 19.1%

Groningen	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 4.29% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 0.96% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.45%	1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.1%	0-2 @ 12.43% 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-5 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.25% Total : 68.43%