/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
-
Jurrien Maduro
83'
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Daley Blind
90'+4'
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Ryan Gravenberch
90'+4'
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Goncalo Ramos
67'
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Darwin Nunez
77'
Ajax vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F08%2Fbenaja_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result
Ajax
56.02%
Draw
20.79%
Benfica
23.19%
Both Teams to Score:
64.17%
Goals
Over 2.5
66.51%
Under 2.5
33.49%
Over 3.5
44.71%
Under 3.5
55.29%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.98%
Under 0.5
12.03%
Over 1.5
62.51%
Under 1.5
37.5%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
72.94%
Under 0.5
27.06%
Over 1.5
37.57%
Under 1.5
62.44%
Score analysis
Ajax
56.02%
Draw
20.79%
Benfica
23.2%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.54%
2-0 @ 7.3%
1-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 4.4%
4-1 @ 3.57%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.16%
4-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.02%
2-0 @ 7.3%
1-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 4.4%
4-1 @ 3.57%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.16%
4-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.02%
Draw
1-1
@
9.01%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.79%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.79%
Benfica
1-2
@
5.89%
0-1 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 23.2%