Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 27, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
3 - 0
Guimaraes

Ramos (23'), Nunez (37', 52' pen.)
Everton (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Semedo (3'), Mumin (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
67.77%	18.8%	13.43%

Both teams to score 51.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59%

41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.61%

63.39%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.88%

11.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.46%

35.54%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.81%

42.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.4%

78.6%

Score Analysis

Benfica 67.76%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 13.43%

Draw 18.8%

Benfica	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.09% 5-0 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.96% Total : 67.76%	1-1 @ 8.89% 0-0 @ 4.69% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 1% Total : 18.8%	0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 13.43%