Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.