| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.25%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
| 76.5% | 14.84% | 8.66% |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.07% | 35.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.98% | 58.02% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.24% | 7.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.52% | 47.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.16% | 82.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 12.03% 3-0 @ 10.25% 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 6.56% 4-1 @ 4.89% 5-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.82% 6-0 @ 1.43% 6-1 @ 1.06% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.79% Total : 76.48% | 1-1 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 3.68% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.8% Total : 14.84% | 0-1 @ 2.75% 1-2 @ 2.61% 0-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.28% Total : 8.66% |