Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
27.15% | 26.71% | 46.14% |
Both teams to score 48.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.13% | 55.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.02% | 76.99% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% | 35.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.25% | 72.75% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% | 24.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% | 58.5% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.15% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |