Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 27.15% | 26.71% | 46.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% | 55.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.02% | 76.99% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% | 35.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.25% | 72.75% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.15% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.13% |