Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 23.28% | 25.41% | 51.31% |
| Both teams to score 48.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% | 53.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% | 75.25% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% | 38.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% | 74.98% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% | 20.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% | 53.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-1 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 0-2 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-3 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.9% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 51.31% |