| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
| 42% | 25.57% | 32.44% |
| Both teams to score 54.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% | 48.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% | 23.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% | 57.04% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% | 64.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.44% |