Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Villanueva (40' og.), Sarabia (65' pen.)
Esgaio (23'), Esteves (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lincoln (32')
Carvalho (24'), Crysan (34'), Henrique (90+8')
Costa (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
66.1%	19.95%	13.95%

Both teams to score 48.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98%

45.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63%

67.37%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25%

12.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.99%

39.01%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.04%

43.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.91%

80.08%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66.09%

Santa Clara 13.95%

Draw 19.95%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 11.88% 1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 4.2% 4-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.04% Total : 66.09%	1-1 @ 9.49% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.95%	0-1 @ 4.61% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.1% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.95%