Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 52.55% | 24.44% | 23% |
| Both teams to score 51.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% | 50.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% | 72.19% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% | 19.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% | 50.68% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% | 73.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 1% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.8% Total : 23% |