Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2021 at 5pm UK
Mata Real
Pacos de Ferreira2 - 1Santa Clara
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Santa Clara
Looking at past encounters between the two sides, we can expect a thrilling contest on Thursday. While Santa Clara have been decent in recent weeks, they have struggled to get going on the road so far. Pacos de Ferreira, meanwhile, are without a win in their last eight home games and we predict both sides will settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 40.71% | 28.59% | 30.7% |
| Both teams to score 45.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
