Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 34.36% | 28.82% | 36.82% |
| Both teams to score 45.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.82% | 81.18% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% | 33.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% | 70.1% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% | 31.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% | 68.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 12.19% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.81% |