Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 36.81% | 28.33% | 34.86% |
| Both teams to score 46.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.53% | 59.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% | 79.83% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% | 30.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% | 67.27% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% | 32.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% | 68.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.86% |