Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 33.3% | 27.9% | 38.8% |
| Both teams to score 47.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.92% | 58.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.25% | 78.75% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% | 32.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% | 69.08% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% | 29.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% | 64.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.29% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.8% |