Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
24.9% | 26.99% | 48.11% |
Both teams to score 46.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.74% | 58.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.11% | 78.9% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.78% | 39.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.07% | 75.93% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% | 24.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% | 58.67% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.9% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 13.48% 0-2 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.59% 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |