Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 4, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Denilson (34')
de Brito Gonzaga (40'), Pedro (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Estupinan (70'), Duarte (90')
Ferreira (4'), Duarte (40'), Borevkovic (88'), Varela (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 35.53%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
35.53%	29.77%	34.7%

Both teams to score 42.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.61%

64.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.54%

83.46%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09%

34.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35%

71.65%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 35.53%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.69%

Draw 29.76%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 11.98% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.76%	0-1 @ 12.61% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.19% Total : 34.69%

Pacos de Ferreira1 - 2Guimaraes

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Guimaraes