Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2021 at 9pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Portimonense

Paulinho (65', 76', 83')
Esteves (22'), Goncalves (30'), Paulinho (45+3'), Nunes (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reis (21' og.), Possignolo (90+2')
Willyan (30'), Sa (45+3')
Sa (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 7.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (11.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Portimonense
74.99%	17.16%	7.85%

Both teams to score 36.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.52%

49.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.49%

71.51%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44%

11.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51%

36.48%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.56%

58.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.16%

89.83%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 74.98%

Portimonense 7.85%

Draw 17.16%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 15.72% 1-0 @ 14.57% 3-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.45% 4-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-1 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.42% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.84% Total : 74.98%	1-1 @ 7.83% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.16%	0-1 @ 3.63% 1-2 @ 2.1% 0-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.15% Total : 7.85%