Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 7.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (11.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
74.99% | 17.16% | 7.85% |
Both teams to score 36.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.52% | 49.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% | 71.51% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.44% | 11.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.51% | 36.48% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.56% | 58.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.16% | 89.83% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
2-0 @ 15.72% 1-0 @ 14.57% 3-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.45% 4-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-1 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.42% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.84% Total : 74.98% | 1-1 @ 7.83% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.16% | 0-1 @ 3.63% 1-2 @ 2.1% 0-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.15% Total : 7.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |