Taca da Liga
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Ronaldo Tavares
31'
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Feliz Vaz
58'
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Leandro Teixeira
80'
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Roberto Rodrigo
86'
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Rui Pedro
90'+5'
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Tiago Tomas
16'
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Bruno Tabata
20'
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Luis Neto
35'
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Bruno Tabata
74'
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74'
Penafiel vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Penafiel win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result
Penafiel
18.07%
Draw
21.99%
Sporting Lisbon
59.94%
Both Teams to Score:
51.61%
Goals
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5
60.71%
Under 0.5
39.29%
Over 1.5
24%
Under 1.5
75.99%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
85%
Under 0.5
15%
Over 1.5
56.54%
Under 1.5
43.46%
Score analysis
Penafiel
18.07%
Draw
21.98%
Sporting Lisbon
59.94%
Penafiel
1-0
@
5.51%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.57%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.07%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.57%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.07%
Draw
1-1
@
10.44%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.98%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.98%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1
@
11.18%
0-2 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.93%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.94%
0-2 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.93%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.94%