Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.51%) and 1-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
| 80.86% | 13.3% | 5.85% |
| Both teams to score 38.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% | 39.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.68% | 62.32% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.28% | 7.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.14% | 57.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.48% | 89.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 14.65% 3-0 @ 12.51% 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.02% 4-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-1 @ 4.38% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.47% 2-2 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.3% | 0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 1.69% Total : 5.85% |