Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 7, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
3 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Patric (30'), Lincoln (51'), Antonio (78')
Boateng (60'), Carvalho (62'), Mansur (75'), Costa (79'), Bouldini (88'), Pereira (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Palhinha (10'), Sarabia (50')
Reis (14'), Paulinho (17'), Esgaio (82')
Braganca (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
14.14%	20.42%	65.44%

Both teams to score 47.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37%

46.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1%

68.9%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34%

44.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34%

80.66%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57%

13.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.59%

40.41%

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 14.14%

Sporting Lisbon 65.43%

Draw 20.42%

Santa Clara	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.06% 3-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.14%	1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.42%	0-2 @ 12.08% 0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-4 @ 4.06% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-5 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.32% 1-5 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.73% Total : 65.43%