Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Vizela win it was 2-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 12.25% | 17.42% | 70.33% |
| Both teams to score 52.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.58% | 37.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.36% | 59.64% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.29% | 41.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.82% | 78.18% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% | 9.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.12% | 31.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 3.57% 1-0 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.25% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.2% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.42% | 0-2 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 7.53% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-5 @ 2.39% 1-5 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.94% 0-6 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.33% |