Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Vizela win it was 2-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.25% | 17.42% | 70.33% |
Both teams to score 52.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.58% | 37.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.36% | 59.64% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.29% | 41.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% | 78.18% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% | 9.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.12% | 31.88% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 3.57% 1-0 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.25% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.2% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.42% | 0-2 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 7.53% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-5 @ 2.39% 1-5 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.94% 0-6 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |